对于种麦人的不易，国家小麦产业技术体系首席科学家刘录祥深有体悟：平日里并不显山露水的冬小麦，连年丰收背后是一场场“苦战”。变数，主要来自“不按常理出牌”的天气：2021年秋汛、2023年罕见“烂场雨”、2024年连续高温干旱，2025年秋季连阴雨导致大面积晚播……去年11月份以来，他们组织了11支科技小分队深入7省60余个重点县，为越冬苗把脉开方。
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Tech job openings are falling. Hiring rates broadly are weak. And layoffs across the economy recently hit their highest level since 2009—although Zandi makes the distinction AI’s weighing effect on the job market “is due to weaker hiring, not layoffs.” Meanwhile, the National Bureau of Economic Research reports over 80% of firms in recent surveys say there is no impact from AI on employment or productivity over the past three years—yet those same firms forecast AI will boost productivity by 1.4% over the next three years. That disconnect between falling hiring numbers and rising productivity is precisely what worries Zandi and why he considers this a watershed Cortés moment.
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